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Bob Carey
Chief Market Strategist
Brian Wesbury
Chief Economist
Investment Insights
Factoid of the Day Monday, February 8, 2016
The Bank of America Merrill Lynch Sell Side Indicator (SSI) currently reflects a level of bearishness close to where it was in Q2’09, according to CNBC. The SSI tracks the asset allocation recommendations of Wall Street strategists. Over the past 15 years, the average weighting in stocks has been around 60%. At the start of February, the percentage allocated to stocks was 52.1%, on average, below the 52.9% threshold that would trigger a “buy” signal. Historically, buy signals have preceded positive returns 95% of the time, with a median 12-month return of 24%. Bank of America Merrill Lynch notes that the SSI is just one of the metrics it uses to forecast the market. The firm currently has a 2,200 price target on the S&P 500 Index for the end of 2016.
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