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Bob Carey
Chief Market Strategist
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Brian Wesbury
Chief Economist
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Investment Insights
Factoid of the Day Friday, February 12, 2016
Moody’s reported that its global speculative-grade default rate stood at 3.4% in January, according to its own release. It sees the rate increasing to 4.2% by January 2017. Moody’s puts the historical average default rate at 4.2% since 1983. The U.S. speculative-grade default rate stood at 3.1% in January. It sees the rate increasing to 4.7% by January 2017. Moody’s cites elevated default rates in Metals and Mining and Oil and Gas for the expected bump in defaults over the next 12 months. The default rate on senior loans stood at 1.50% in January, according to S&P Capital IQ. The historical average has been 2.80% since January 2003.
 
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