Home Logon FTA Investment Managers Blog Subscribe About Us Contact Us

Search by Ticker, Keyword or CUSIP       

Blog Home
   Brian Wesbury
Chief Economist
X •  LinkedIn
   Bob Stein
Deputy Chief Economist
X •  LinkedIn
  The Producer Price Index (PPI) increased 0.2% in May
Posted Under: Data Watch • PPI
Supporting Image for Blog Post

Implications:  Producer prices continued to move higher in May, outpacing consensus expectations, and are up 7.3% in the past year.  Most of the gain in May was due to energy, but core prices (which exclude food and energy) are up at a 3.5% annual rate in the past six months.  Further up the production pipeline, core intermediate prices increased 0.9% in May and are up 6.3% versus a year ago.  Core crude prices, despite slipping in May, are up 19% in the past year.  So while the Federal Reserve can still claim core inflation is low for consumers, core producer prices are accelerating.  Based on these inflation signals and the current state of the economy, the Fed's monetary policy is way too loose. With oil prices so volatile, producer prices are going to be volatile as well.  However, we anticipate that the underlying trend in producer price inflation will remain too high.  In other recent inflation news, trade prices continue to escalate.  Import prices increased 0.2% in May and are up 12.5% versus a year ago.  Excluding oil, import prices increased 0.4% in May and are up 4.5% in the past year.  Export prices rose 0.2% in May and are up 9% versus a year ago.  Excluding farm products, export prices are up 7% in the past year.  Like back in the early 2000s the Fed has been too loose for too long.

Click here for the entire report.
Posted on Tuesday, June 14, 2011 @ 10:24 AM • Post Link Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. By providing this information, First Trust is not undertaking to give advice in any fiduciary capacity within the meaning of ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any other regulatory framework. Financial professionals are responsible for evaluating investment risks independently and for exercising independent judgment in determining whether investments are appropriate for their clients.
Follow First Trust:  
First Trust Portfolios L.P.  Member SIPC and FINRA. (Form CRS)   •  First Trust Advisors L.P. (Form CRS)
Home |  Important Legal Information |  Privacy Policy |  California Privacy Policy |  Business Continuity Plan |  FINRA BrokerCheck
Copyright © 2024 All rights reserved.