Home Logon FTA Investment Managers Blog Subscribe About Us Contact Us

Search by Ticker, Keyword or CUSIP       
 
 
 
Blog Home
Bob Carey
Chief Market Strategist
Bio
X •  LinkedIn
 

  S&P 500 Index Earnings & Revenue Growth Rate Projections
Posted Under: Broader Stock Market
Supporting Image for Blog Post

 
View from the Observation Deck  

  1. On 1/14/19, the S&P 500 Index closed the trading session at 2,582.61, 11.88% below its all-time high of 2,930.75 set on 9/20/18, according to Bloomberg. 
  2. For the market to trend higher, we believe that corporate earnings will need to grow, and perhaps the best catalyst for growing earnings is to increase revenues.
  3. From 1926-2018 (93 years), the S&P 500 Index posted an average annual total return of 9.99%, according to Ibbotson & Associates/Morningstar. 
  4. As indicated in the table, Bloomberg's 2019 and 2020 consensus year-over-year (y-o-y) earnings growth rate estimates for the index were 7.0% and 10.9%, respectively, as of 1/11/19. 
  5. Three of the 11 major sectors that comprise the index reflect double-digit y-o-y earnings growth rate estimates for 2019, and that number jumps to seven in 2020. 
  6. Bloomberg's 2019 and 2020 consensus y-o-y revenue growth rate estimates for the S&P 500 Index were 4.5% and 5.1%, respectively, as of 1/11/19.
  7. Three of the 11 major sectors reflect y-o-y revenue growth rate estimates of 5.0% or more for 2019, compared to five for 2020.

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any actual investment. There can be no assurance that any of the projections cited will occur. The illustration excludes the effects of taxes and brokerage commissions or other expenses incurred when investing. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index comprised of 500 stocks (currently 505) used to measure large-cap U.S. stock market performance, while the 11 major S&P 500 Sector Indices are capitalization-weighted and comprised of S&P 500 constituents representing a specific sector.

Download a PDF of this post, please click here.
Posted on Tuesday, January 15, 2019 @ 12:32 PM • Post Link Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
Search Posts
MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Commentary and Analysis
Market Commentary Video
Monthly Talking Points
Quarterly Newsletter
Market Observations
Subscribe To Receive Email
 


 PREVIOUS POSTS
Corporate Earnings Are Expected To Increase In 2019
A Snapshot Of How Stocks Have Performed So Far In This Millennium
2019 Market Outlook
A Snapshot of Bond Valuations
Stock Buybacks by Sector
Call Us Crazy ... Stocks on sale as we head into 2019
Sector Performance Via Market Capitalization (Since Steel/Aluminum Tariffs Enacted)
Top-Performing Subsectors in the S&P 500 Index
S&P 500 Index Earnings & Revenue Growth Rate Projections
A Snapshot of Bond Valuations
Archive
Skip Navigation Links.
Expand 20242024
Expand 20232023
Expand 20222022
Expand 20212021
Expand 20202020
Expand 20192019
Expand 20182018
Expand 20172017
Expand 20162016
Expand 20152015
Expand 20142014
Expand 20132013
Expand 20122012
Expand 20112011

Search by Topic
Skip Navigation Links.

 
The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. By providing this information, First Trust is not undertaking to give advice in any fiduciary capacity within the meaning of ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any other regulatory framework. Financial professionals are responsible for evaluating investment risks independently and for exercising independent judgment in determining whether investments are appropriate for their clients.
Follow First Trust:  
First Trust Portfolios L.P.  Member SIPC and FINRA. (Form CRS)   •  First Trust Advisors L.P. (Form CRS)
Home |  Important Legal Information |  Privacy Policy |  California Privacy Policy |  Business Continuity Plan |  FINRA BrokerCheck
Copyright © 2024 All rights reserved.