View from the Observation Deck

Investors directing capital into U.S. mutual funds and exchange traded funds (ETFs) continued to favor passive investing over active management during the 12-month period ended 6/30/25.

Passive mutual funds and ETFs reported estimated net inflows totaling $899 billion, while active funds reported estimated net outflows totaling $230 billion over the trailing 12-months ended 6/30/25. The top three active categories by trailing 12-month net inflows were: Taxable Bonds (+$183 billion), Nontraditional Equity (+$64 billion), and Municipal Bonds (+$36 billion). For comparison, the top three passive categories were U.S. Equity (+$457 billion), Taxable Bond (+$250 billion), and International Equity (+$98 billion).

Equity mutual funds and ETFs saw much lower inflows than their fixed income counterparts over the trailing 12-month period ended 6/30/25.

Combined, active and passive equities experienced inflows of $87 billion over the trailing 12-months (not in table). For comparison, the active and passive Taxable and Municipal Bond categories reported net inflows totaling $484 billion over the same time frame. The S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600 Indices posted total returns of 15.14%, 7.50%, and 4.55%, respectively, over the 12-months ended 6/30/25, according to data from Bloomberg. With respect to foreign equities, the MSCI Emerging Net Total Return and MSCI Daily Total Return Net World (ex U.S.) Indices posted total returns of 15.29% and 18.70%, respectively, over the same time frame. For comparison, the Bloomberg Municipal Long Bond, Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate, and Bloomberg Global-Aggregate Bond Indices saw total returns of -2.10%, 6.08%, and 8.91%, respectively, over the period.

Takeaway: Passive mutual funds and ETFs saw inflows of $899 billion compared to outflows of $230 billion for active funds over the trailing 12-month period ended 6/30/25. Once again, U.S. Equities experienced the largest disparity, with active shedding $325 billion compared to inflows of $457 billion for passive funds. Fixed income ETFs saw significantly higher inflows than their equity counterparts. Net inflows into active and passive equity ETFs totaled just $87 billion over the past 12-months, whereas fixed income saw combined net inflows of $484 billion over the same time frame. Morningstar reported that U.S. equity funds shed $36 billion in June 2025, marking the category’s worst monthly outflow in over three years. This is notable, especially given that the S&P 500 Index closed at a record high on 6/30/25. Recent weakness in the relative value of the U.S. dollar, which declined by 10.70% against a basket of its peers in the first half of 2025, may explain the international and emerging market total returns noted above. Investors appear to be taking notice, with the international equity category seeing inflows of $15 billion in June 2025 alone.

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any actual investment. The illustration excludes the effects of taxes and brokerage commissions and other expenses incurred when investing. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 companies used to measure large-cap U.S. stock market performance. The S&P MidCap 400 Index is a capitalization-weighted index that tracks the mid-range sector of the U.S. stock market. The S&P SmallCap 600 Index is a capitalization-weighted index that tracks U.S. companies with a small market capitalization. The MSCI Emerging Markets Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure equity market performance of emerging markets. The MSCI World (ex U.S.) Index is a free-float weighted index designed to measure the equity market performance of developed markets. The Bloomberg Municipal Long Bond Index cover the USD-denominated long-term tax exempt bond market, including local general obligation, revenue, insured, and prefunded bonds. The Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Bond Index measures the investment grade, U.S. dollar-denominated, fixed rate taxable bond market. The Bloomberg Global Aggregate Bond Index measures global investment grade debt in local currency markets.

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