Value Line® Target Safety 30 Portfolio, 4th Quarter 2019 Series
Who Is Value Line®?
Since its foundation in 1931,Value Line®, Inc. has grown to be an organization that stands at the forefront of the investment community. For more than 85 years, the Value Line® name has been
synonymous with trust and integrity. They are best known for publishing The Value Line Investment Survey®, a stock analysis newsletter that is one of the most highly regarded and widely used
independent investment research resources. The Value Line Investment Survey® is a comprehensive source of information on approximately 1,700 stocks in approximately 100 industries.
What Is The Value Line® Safety Rank?
Value Line® ranks approximately 1,700 stocks which represent approximately 90% of the trading volume on all U.S. stock exchanges. The Value Line® Safety Rank measures the total risk of a stock
relative to the other stocks in the Value Line® universe. Value Line® bases their rankings from #1 through #5 on various factors including price stability and financial strength. Stocks rated #1 or #2
are less volatile than those rated #4 or #5.
Stocks with high safety ranks are often associated with large, financially sound companies, many of which regularly pay cash dividends. These same companies also often have somewhat more moderate
growth prospects because their primary markets tend to be mature. Stocks with low safety ranks are often associated with companies that are smaller and/or have weaker than average finances.
Value Line® Target Safety 30 Portfolio
The Value Line® Target Safety 30 Portfolio is a unit investment trust that seeks to provide exposure to U.S. exchange-listed companies with strong balance sheets, above-average dividend yields and
low volatility by investing in 30 companies that Value Line® gives a #1 or #2 ranking for SafetyTM. The portfolio takes a total return approach to investing in dividend-paying companies rather than “chasing yield.” The stocks are selected by applying a disciplined investment strategy which adheres to pre-determined screens and factors. The portfolio seeks above-average capital
appreciation; however, there is no assurance the objective will be met.
The strategy is based on these steps:
- Begin with all stocks or ADRs that Value Line® gives a #1 and #2 ranking for SafetyTM.
- Eliminate business development companies, regulated investment companies, limited partnerships, real estate investment trusts and companies that do not trade on U.S. exchanges.
- Select companies with a market capitalization greater than $1 billion and a three month average daily dollar volume greater than $5 million.
- Select companies with an indicated dividend yield above 2%.
- Eliminate companies that do not have positive free cash flow after subtracting dividends and those that do not have return on equity above 10%.
- Rank all of the remaining companies on price volatility and price to cash flow. These rankings are separate, but equally weighted. Companies with lower price volatility and lower, but positive, price
to cash flow receive higher rankings.
- Purchase an approximately equally weighted portfolio of the 30 eligible stocks with the best overall ranking subject to a maximum of six stocks in any one of the major Global Industry Classification
Standard (GICS®) market sectors. If, through the selection process, the stocks selected would cause the portfolio to exceed the six stocks in any one GICS sector limitation, the lowest ranked stock or
stocks from that GICS sector will be replaced with the next highest ranked stock or stocks in any of the other GICS sectors. In the event of a tie, the stock with lower price to cash flow is selected.
If this strategy had been applied since 1996, investors would have realized higher total returns and lower standard deviation than by investing in the S&P 500 Index. It is important to note that the
past performance of the strategy is hypothetical and it is not indicative of the future performance of the Value Line® Target Safety 30 Portfolio.
Reasons To Consider Low-Volatility Dividend-Paying Stocks
- History shows that, over the long-term, dividends provide a key component of total return. As interest rates remain low, investors are focusing their attention toward dividend paying stocks.
- Historically, dividends have made up a significant portion of stock market total return. According to Ibbotson Associates, dividends have provided approximately 42% of the 9.99% average annual
total return on the S&P 500 Index from January 1926 through December 2018.
- Due to the fact that corporations are not obligated to share their earnings with stockholders, dividends may be viewed as a sign of a company’s profitability as well as management's assessment of
the future, in our opinion.
- We believe that companies that distribute dividends on a regular basis generally demonstrate financial strength and positive performance relative to their peers.
- For investors focused on long-term investment objectives, one way to potentially mitigate the adverse effects of market movements is to invest in relatively low-volatility stocks. Typically, these
stocks do not have as dramatic price fluctuations (relative to other stocks), but tend to change in value steadily over time.
- History has shown that portfolios of low-beta and low-volatility stocks have produced higher risk-adjusted returns than portfolios of high-beta and high-volatility stocks, in most major
|Not FDIC Insured Not Bank Guaranteed May Lose Value
| Standard Deviations*
|| Average Annual Total Returns*
|Annual Total Returns
Past performance is no guarantee of future results and the actual current
performance of the portfolio may be lower or higher than the hypothetical performance
of the strategy. Hypothetical returns for the strategy in certain years were
significantly higher than the returns of the S&P 500 Index. Hypothetical strategy
returns were the result of certain market factors and events which may not be
replicated in the future. You can obtain performance information which is current
through the most recent month-end by calling First Trust Portfolios L.P. at
1-800-621-1675 option 2. Investment return and principal value of the portfolio
will fluctuate causing units of the portfolio, when redeemed, to be worth more
or less than their original cost.
Simulated strategy returns are hypothetical, meaning that they
do not represent actual trading, and, thus, may not reflect
material economic and market factors, such as liquidity
constraints, that may have had an impact on actual decision
making. The hypothetical performance is the retroactive
application of the strategy designed with the full benefit of
hindsight. Strategy returns reflect a sales charge of 1.85% and
estimated annual operating expenses of 0.185%, plus
organization costs, but not taxes or commissions paid by the
portfolio to purchase securities. Returns assume that dividends
are reinvested monthly. Actual portfolio performance will vary
from that of investing in the strategy stocks because it may not
be invested equally in these stocks and may not be fully
invested at all times. It is important to note that the strategy
may underperform the S&P 500 Index in certain years and may
produce negative results.
The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 stocks used to measure large-cap
U.S. stock market performance.The index cannot be purchased directly by investors.
Standard Deviation is a measure of price variability (risk). A higher degree of variability indicates more volatility and therefore greater risk.
You should consider the portfolio's investment objectives, risks, and
charges and expenses carefully before investing. Contact your financial advisor
or call First Trust Portfolios, L.P. at 1.800.621.1675 to request a prospectus,
which contains this and other information about the portfolio. Read it carefully
before you invest.
An investment in this unmanaged unit investment trust should be
made with an understanding of the risks involved with owning common stocks, such as an
economic recession and the possible deterioration of either the financial condition of the issuers
of the equity securities or the general condition of the stock market.
You should be aware that the portfolio is concentrated in stocks in the consumer products sector
which involves additional risks, including limited diversification. The companies engaged in the
consumer products industry are subject to global competition, changing government regulations
and trade policies, currency fluctuations, and the financial and political risks inherent in
producing products for foreign markets.
An investment in a portfolio which includes foreign securities should be made with an
understanding of the additional risks involved, such as currency fluctuations, political risk, the lack
of adequate financial information and exchange control restrictions impacting foreign issuers.
An investment in a portfolio containing small-cap and mid-cap companies is subject to additional
risks, as the share prices of small-cap companies and certain mid-cap companies are often more
volatile than those of larger companies due to several factors, including limited trading volumes,
products, financial resources, management inexperience and less publicly available information.
The value of the securities held by the trust may be subject to steep declines or increased
volatility due to changes in performance or perception of the issuers.
As the use of Internet technology has become more prevalent in the course of business, the trust has become more susceptible to potential operational risks through breaches in cybersecurity.
Although this unit investment trust terminates in approximately 15 months, the strategy is longterm.
Investors should consider their ability to pursue investing in successive portfolios, if available.
There may be tax consequences unless units are purchased in an IRA or other qualified plan.
“Value Line”, “The Value Line Investment Survey”, “Timeliness,” and “Safety” are trademarks or registered trademarks of Value Line, Inc. (“Value Line”) and have been licensed for use for certain purposes by First Trust
Portfolios L.P. This product is not sponsored, endorsed, recommended, sold or promoted by Value Line and Value Line makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in products utilizing such strategy. First
Trust Portfolios L.P. is not affiliated with any Value Line company.