Election Portfolio, Series 19
The United States presidential election occurred November 3rd, leaving investors to wonder what
it will mean for their portfolios. While most voters focus on the current state of affairs when
casting their ballots in presidential elections, equity investors tend to concentrate on the impact
the election will have on fiscal and monetary policy that can influence future economic growth.
Historically, in the first year of a new president’s term, the S&P 500 Index is up 9.4% on average.1
The outcome of the presidential election can have an impact on different sectors and industries.
Our analysts at First Trust have identified certain areas of the market listed below that we believe
may offer strong relative value and growth potential after a Democratic victory.
- Clean Energy | Clean energy is developed from renewable, zero-emissions sources, as well
as energy that is stored through energy efficiency measures. As opposed to coal and oil, clean
energy does not pollute the atmosphere. The clean energy industry generates hundreds of
billions in economic activity and is anticipated to grow rapidly in the coming years.2 The
potential for economic opportunity may exist for companies that invent, manufacture and
export clean energy technologies.
- Consumer Discretionary | This sector has been feeling the impact of the most recent
pandemic as people cancel trips and avoid leisure activities. The sector is dominated by
companies that produce products and services that consumers often do without when they
are under financial stress or worried about the state of the economy. Prior to the COVID-19
pandemic, the U.S. labor market was strong with healthy consumer balance sheets which
may help this sector going forward.
- Health Care | President Biden is planning to make a renewed commitment to protect and
expand Americans’ access to quality, affordable health care. He will build on the Affordable
Care Act to meet the health care needs created by the pandemic, reduce health care costs,
and make our health care system less complex to navigate.3 From 2019-2028, it is projected
that health care spending will grow at an average rate of 5.4% annually.4 In addition, there
are currently approximately 8,000 medicines in clinical development around the world. Of
these, 74% have the potential to be first-in-class treatments, which represents an entirely
new approach to treating a disease.5
- Information Technology | Gartner forecasts worldwide IT spending to total approximately
$3.8 trillion in 2021, an increase of 4% from 2020. In addition, the worldwide public
cloud services market is anticipated to grow 18% in 2021 to total $304.9 billion, up from
$257.5 billion in 2020. By 2022, Gartner predicts that worldwide public cloud service revenue
will potentially reach $362.3 billion.
- Internet | As of 12/31/20, over 5 billion people or 64.2% of the worldwide population had access to the Internet, an increase of 1,300% since 2000.6 In addition, over the last few years,
e-commerce has become an indispensable part of the global retail framework. As Internet
access and adoption are rapidly increasing worldwide, the number of digital buyers should
continue to increase.7
- U.S. Companies with China Exposure | American businesses operating in China believe that U.S. President Joe Biden’s administration may help stabilize relations between the world’s two
- U.S. Infrastructure | Infrastructure is the foundation that connects U.S. businesses and enables communities to prosper. For decades, the U.S. has been under-investing in our infrastructure. To
close the nearly $2.6 trillion 10-year investment gap, meet future need, and restore our global competitive advantage, the U.S. must increase investment from all levels of government and the private
sector from approximately 2.5% to 3.5% of U.S. Gross Domestic Product by 2025.9
1 Morningstar (Ibbotson Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation).Past performance is no guarantee of
2 U.S. Department of Energy
6 Internet World Stats
9 American Society of Civil Engineers
This unit investment trust seeks above-average capital appreciation; however, there is no
assurance the objective will be met.
| Not FDIC Insured Not Bank Guaranteed May Lose Value
You should consider the portfolio's investment objectives, risks, and
charges and expenses carefully before investing. Contact your financial professional
or call First Trust Portfolios, L.P. at 1.800.621.1675 to request a prospectus,
which contains this and other information about the portfolio. Read it carefully
before you invest.
An investment in this unmanaged unit investment trust should be
made with an understanding of the risks involved with owning common stocks, such as an
economic recession and the possible deterioration of either the financial condition of the issuers
of the equity securities or the general condition of the stock market.
You should be aware that the portfolio is concentrated in stocks in the information technology sector which involves additional risks, including limited diversification. The companies engaged in the information technology
sector are subject to fierce competition, high research and development costs, and their products and services may be subject to rapid obsolescence. Technology company stocks, especially those which are Internet-related,
may experience extreme price and volume fluctuations that are often unrelated to their operating performance.
An investment in a portfolio containing small-cap and mid-cap companies is subject to additional risks, as the share prices of small-cap companies and certain mid-cap companies are often more volatile than those of larger
companies due to several factors, including limited trading volumes, products, financial resources, management inexperience and less publicly available information.
Large capitalization companies may grow at a slower rate than the overall market.
As the use of Internet technology has become more prevalent in the course of business, the trust
has become more susceptible to potential operational risks through breaches in cybersecurity.
The COVID-19 global pandemic has resulted in major disruptions to economies and markets around the world. Financial markets have experienced extreme volatility and severe losses, negatively impacting global economic
growth prospects. The duration of the COVID-19 outbreak and its effects cannot be determined with certainty and may exacerbate other political, social and economic risks.
The value of the securities held by the trust may be subject to steep declines or increased volatility
due to changes in performance or perception of the issuers.
Although this portfolio terminates in approximately 15 months, the strategy is long-term.
Investors should consider their ability to pursue investing in successive portfolios, if available.
There may be tax consequences unless units are purchased in an IRA or other qualified plan.