Home Logon FTA Investment Managers Blog Subscribe About Us Contact Us

Search by Ticker, Keyword or CUSIP       
 
 
 
Blog Home
Bob Carey
Chief Market Strategist
Bio
X •  LinkedIn
 

  S&P 500 Stock Prices Relative To Their All-Time Highs
Supporting Image for Blog Post

 

View from the Observation Deck

A myriad of factors, including strong earnings growth, developments in Artificial Intelligence (AI), and expectations regarding the direction of U.S monetary policy, sent the S&P 500 Index (“Index”) surging by 9.90% on a total return basis year-to-date (YTD) through 3/20/24. Ten of the eleven sectors that comprise the Index are positive over the same period. The Index closed at a record 5,224.62 on 3/20/24, notching its 19th record high of the calendar year so far. This begs the question: where do each of the eleven sectors stand with regard to their respective all-time highs? 

As revealed by the chart above, 10 of the 11 sectors that comprise the Index were below their all-time highs as of 3/19/24. That said, four of the 11 sectors (Information Technology, Health Care, Materials, and Industrials) set new all-time highs in 2024.


•    Excluding the Industrials sector, which set its all-time high on the day we pulled this dataset, the Materials sector was closest to its all-time high (-0.28%), which was set on 3/13/24. At -24.93%, Real Estate was furthest from its all-time high, which was set on 12/31/21. Communication Services and Information Technology, the two top performing sectors in the Index on a YTD basis thru 3/20/24, stood -17.19% and -1.35%, respectively, below their all-time highs.

•    As of 3/19/24, 332 stocks in the S&P 500 Index (currently 503) had positive returns on a price-only basis in 2024, according to data from Bloomberg. Those 332 stocks account for 66.0% of the 503 holdings. For comparison, just 145 stocks in the Index finished the 2022 with positive price returns.

•    A Bloomberg survey of 21 equity strategists found that their average year-end price target for the S&P 500 Index was 4,962 as of 3/19/24, according to its own release. The highest estimate was 5,400, while the lowest was 4,200.

Takeaway: The S&P 500 Index has enjoyed remarkable returns thus far in 2024, rising to new all-time highs on 19 separate occasions (thru 3/20/24). Four of the 11 sectors that comprise the Index set record highs in 2024. In our view, the companies that comprise the S&P 500 Index have been rewarded for their persistent earnings and revenue growth, rapid implementation of new technologies (AI), and the potential for monetary policy to ease in the coming quarters. That said, the most recent Bloomberg survey of equity strategists revealed an average year-end price target of 4,962 for the S&P 500 Index (21 strategists surveyed). The figure represents a decline of 5.03% on a price-only basis from 5,224.62 where the Index stood at the close on 3/20/24. We’ll leave it to the pundits to debate the day-to-day direction of equity markets. From our perspective, investors with a long-term view should take comfort in the fact that given enough time, equity markets have never failed to produce new highs.

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any actual investment. There can be no assurance that any of the projections cited will occur. The illustration excludes the effects of taxes and brokerage commissions and other expenses incurred when investing. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index of 500 stocks used to measure large-cap U.S. stock market performance, while the 11 major S&P 500 Sector Indices are capitalization-weighted and comprised of S&P 500 constituents representing a specific sector.  

Download a PDF of this post, please click here.

 

Posted on Thursday, March 21, 2024 @ 3:09 PM • Post Link Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
Search Posts
MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Commentary and Analysis
Market Commentary Video
Monthly Talking Points
Quarterly Newsletter
Market Observations
Subscribe To Receive Email
 


 PREVIOUS POSTS
Communication Services Sector Performance Since Inception
Worst-Performing S&P 500 Index Subsectors YTD (Thru 3/12)
Top-Performing S&P 500 Index Subsectors YTD (Thru 3/8)
A Check Up On Health Care
A Snapshot Of The S&P 500 Earnings Beat Rate
S&P 500 Index Earnings & Revenue Growth Rate Estimates
Growth Vs. Value Investing (Small-Caps)
Consumer Delinquency Rates
A Snapshot of Bond Valuations
Consumer Checkup: Aisle 7
Archive
Skip Navigation Links.
Search by Topic
Skip Navigation Links.

 
The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. By providing this information, First Trust is not undertaking to give advice in any fiduciary capacity within the meaning of ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any other regulatory framework. Financial professionals are responsible for evaluating investment risks independently and for exercising independent judgment in determining whether investments are appropriate for their clients.
Follow First Trust:  
First Trust Portfolios L.P.  Member SIPC and FINRA. (Form CRS)   •  First Trust Advisors L.P. (Form CRS)
Home |  Important Legal Information |  Privacy Policy |  California Privacy Policy |  Business Continuity Plan |  FINRA BrokerCheck
Copyright © 2024 All rights reserved.