Home   Logon   Mobile Site   Research and Commentary   About Us   Call 1.800.621.1675 or Email Us       Follow Us: 

Search by Ticker, Keyword or CUSIP       
 
 
 
Blog Home
Bob Carey
Chief Market Strategist
Click for Bio

Follow Bob on Twitter Follow Bob on LinkedIn View Videos on YouTube
 

  S&P 500 Index Earnings And Revenue Growth Rate Projections
Posted Under: Broader Stock Market

 
View from the Observation Deck  
  1. On 8/15/18, the S&P 500 Index closed the trading session at 2,818.37, 1.90% below its all-time high of 2,872.87 set on 1/26/18, according to Bloomberg. 
  2. For the market to trend higher, we believe that corporate earnings will need to grow, and perhaps the best catalyst for growing earnings is to increase revenues.
  3. From 1926-2017 (92 years), the S&P 500 Index posted an average annual total return of 10.2%, according to Ibbotson & Associates/Morningstar. 
  4. As indicated in the table, Bloomberg's 2018 and 2019 consensus year-over-year (y-o-y) earnings growth rate estimates for the index were 23.8% and 11.3%, respectively, as of 8/10/18. 
  5. Nine of the 11 major sectors that comprise the index reflect double-digit y-o-y earnings growth rate estimates for 2018, compared to four for 2019. 
  6. Bloomberg's 2018 and 2019 consensus y-o-y revenue growth rate estimates for the index were 8.3% and 5.1%, respectively, as of 8/10/18.
  7. Eight of the 11 major sectors reflect y-o-y revenue growth rate estimates of 5.0% or more for 2018, compared to four for 2019.
  8. The forecasts for earnings and revenue growth for the S&P 500 Index have been adjusted higher in many cases since our last post on 5/15/18 (click here).

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any actual investment. There can be no assurance that any of the projections cited will occur. The illustration excludes the effects of taxes and brokerage commissions or other expenses incurred when investing. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index comprised of 500 stocks (currently 505) used to measure large-cap U.S. stock market performance, while the 11 major S&P 500 Sector Indices are capitalization-weighted and comprised of S&P 500 constituents representing a specific sector.

Download a PDF of this post, please click here.

Posted on Thursday, August 16, 2018 @ 2:32 PM • Post Link Share: 
Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
Search Posts
MARKET ANALYSIS
Market Commentary and Analysis
Market Commentary Video
Weekly Market Commentary
Weekly Market Watch
Monthly Talking Points
Quarterly Newsletter
Market Observations
Subscribe To Receive Email
 


 PREVIOUS POSTS
Internet Advertising Revenue Surged In 2017
US Stock Markets Ended August 10, 2018
US Economy and Credit Markets Ended August 10, 2018
A Snapshot of U.S. Styles/Market Caps
Passive vs. Active Fund Flows
US Stock Markets Ended August 3, 2018
US Economy and Credit Markets Ended August 3, 2018
A Snapshot of Growth vs. Value Investing
How Some Major Global Equity Indices Have Performed Since 11/8/16
US Stock Markets Ended July 27, 2018
Archive
Skip Navigation Links.
Search by Topic
Skip Navigation Links.

 
The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. By providing this information, First Trust is not undertaking to give advice in any fiduciary capacity within the meaning of ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any other regulatory framework. Financial professionals are responsible for evaluating investment risks independently and for exercising independent judgment in determining whether investments are appropriate for their clients.
First Trust Portfolios L.P.  Member SIPC and FINRA. (Form CRS)   •  First Trust Advisors L.P. (Form CRS)
Home |  Important Legal Information |  Privacy Policy |  California Privacy Policy |  Business Continuity Plan |  FINRA BrokerCheck
Copyright © 2020 All rights reserved.