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  S&P 500 Index Top-Line Growth Estimates
Posted Under: Broader Stock Market
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View from the Observation Deck 

  1. Today's blog post is one we do on an ongoing basis so that investors can monitor changes in the expected revenue growth of the companies that comprise the S&P 500 Index.
  2. The S&P 500 Index closed the trading session on 3/23/16 at 2,036.71. It stood 4.42% below its all-time high of 2130.82 (5/21/15), according to Bloomberg.
  3. While several sectors show a downward adjustment to 2016 revenue projections from the last time we checked on 1/8/16, the biggest downgrade was in Energy. The 2017 revenue projection for Energy, however, more than doubled from 1/8/16.    
  4. As indicated in the chart, as of 3/18/16, the estimated revenue growth rate for the S&P 500 Index for 2016 was 2.0%. When you exclude Energy, the rate bumps to 3.3% (not in chart), according to Bloomberg.
  5. Current estimates for the S&P 500 Index and 8 of the 10 major sectors that comprise the index reflect stronger year-over-year revenue growth in 2017.
  6. With the exception of the anticipated weakness in Energy and Materials in 2016, which is not a new development, the overall climate for revenue growth is relatively optimistic, in our opinion.

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any actual investment. There can be no assurance that any of the projections cited will occur. The illustration excludes the effects of taxes and brokerage commissions or other expenses incurred when investing. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index comprised of 500 stocks used to measure large-cap U.S. stock market performance, while the 10 major S&P 500 Sector Indices are capitalization-weighted and comprised of S&P 500 constituents representing a specific sector.

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Posted on Thursday, March 24, 2016 @ 12:24 PM • Post Link Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
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