Home Logon FTA Investment Managers Blog Subscribe About Us Contact Us

Search by Ticker, Keyword or CUSIP       
Blog Home
Bob Carey
Chief Market Strategist
X •  LinkedIn

  Now That The Election Is Over
Posted Under: Conceptual Investing
Supporting Image for Blog Post


View from the Observation Deck 

  1. Now that the election is over, where do the equities markets go from here? Today's blog post offers a snapshot of the S&P 500 Index's performance in the first year of the last 10 presidential terms. 
  2. As indicated in the chart, representation was equal, with five Democrats and five Republicans. The S&P 500 Index was up in seven of the 10 years. The average total return for the 10 years featured was 14.7%.
  3. There were four years in which the total return on the S&P 500 Index exceeded 30.0% − two of them occurred when a Democrat was in the White house and two occurred when it was a Republican.
  4. In two of the three years that the S&P 500 Index posted a negative total return, the U.S. economy had slipped into recession, according to data from the National Bureau of Economic Research. With respect to 1981, the recession lasted from July 1981 through November 1982. With respect to 2001, the recession lasted from March 2001 to November 2001.
  5. The U.S. economy is currently in expansion mode. President-elect Donald J. Trump has put forth what could be interpreted as a pro-growth agenda, in our opinion.
  6. The outlook for S&P 500 Index earnings looks encouraging. In dollar terms, Bloomberg's 2017 consensus annual earnings estimate for the S&P 500 Index was $133.04 as of 11/17/16. That was up from an estimated $118.91 for 2016, and up from the $108.89 registered in 2015.

This chart is for illustrative purposes only and not indicative of any actual investment. The illustration excludes the effects of taxes and brokerage commissions and other expenses incurred when investing. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. The S&P 500 Index is a capitalization-weighted index comprised of 500 stocks used to measure large-cap U.S. stock market performance.

To Download a PDF of this post, please click here.

Posted on Thursday, November 17, 2016 @ 12:52 PM • Post Link Print this post Printer Friendly

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
Search Posts
Market Commentary and Analysis
Market Commentary Video
Monthly Talking Points
Quarterly Newsletter
Market Observations
Subscribe To Receive Email

Investor Sentiment In Equities Shifted After Midyear
The Market is Risk On
A Snapshot of S&P 500 Breadth
Fog is Lifting for Individual Investors
A Snapshot of Bond Valuations
This Sentiment Index Could Be Signaling A Buying Opportunity In Stocks
A Snapshot of Micro-Cap Stocks vs. Small-Cap Stocks
Why the Market is Not Bullish
The First Trust Newsletter and Market Overview
A Snapshot of Growth vs. Value Investing
Skip Navigation Links.
Search by Topic
Skip Navigation Links.

The information presented is not intended to constitute an investment recommendation for, or advice to, any specific person. By providing this information, First Trust is not undertaking to give advice in any fiduciary capacity within the meaning of ERISA, the Internal Revenue Code or any other regulatory framework. Financial professionals are responsible for evaluating investment risks independently and for exercising independent judgment in determining whether investments are appropriate for their clients.
Follow First Trust:  
First Trust Portfolios L.P.  Member SIPC and FINRA. (Form CRS)   •  First Trust Advisors L.P. (Form CRS)
Home |  Important Legal Information |  Privacy Policy |  California Privacy Policy |  Business Continuity Plan |  FINRA BrokerCheck
Copyright © 2024 All rights reserved.