New Orders for Durable Goods Rose 1.7% in February
Supporting Image for Blog Post

 

Implications:  Business investment is getting its mojo back.  New orders for durable goods rose once again in February following a healthy increase in January.  The February rise was due in large part to commercial aircraft orders, but strip out the volatile transportation sector and durable goods orders still rose 0.4%.  Non-transportation orders were led higher in February by primary metals, electrical equipment, appliances & components, and machinery.  These non-transportation orders have been steadily trending higher since mid-2016, and have risen in each of the last six months.  Meanwhile machinery orders rose once again in February and have not shown a monthly decline since April of last year.  This is, in part, a sign of continued improvements in the energy sector, which had been pulling down machinery investment since oil prices started declining in mid-2014.  Shipments of "core" capital goods - non-defense, excluding aircraft – rose 1.0% in February.  If unchanged in March, these shipments will be up at a 6.9% annual rate in Q1 versus the Q4 average.  This series is important for GDP and, despite a modest decline in new orders for "core" capital goods in February, should continue to be a positive contributor to growth in the quarters ahead. Taken as a whole, today's report on durable goods supports the pickup in manufacturing activity seen in other economic reports, and suggests that confidence from both consumers and companies is on the rise. 

Click here for PDF version

Posted on Friday, March 24, 2017 @ 10:12 AM

These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.