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Bob Carey
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  US Stock Markets Ended March 26, 2021
Posted Under: Weekly Market Commentary

 
Equity markets closed near all-time highs last week during a shortened trading week in celebration of Good Friday. The S&P 500 Index closed Thursday over 4,000 for the first time ever. The index closed below 2500 on April 1st last year and has returned 65.48% in the last 12 months, highlighting it usually pays to stay invested in equites. Last weekend it was revealed that Archegos Capital Management was behind a global block trade selloff in many Chinese technology and American media companies. Archegos, the family office of Bill Hwang, a former Tiger Fund trader, was participating in complex total return swaps. This is a method commonly used to mask exposures from other market participants and leverage exposures. It has been reported that the near $10b fund lost $8b in a mere 10 days. This is an unprecedented sum, in an unprecedented short period of time. Facilitating many of these total return swaps were investment banks Nomura Holdings and Credit Suisse Group AG, among others. Total losses from these complex swaps for investment banks are not yet fully known, but last week Nomura returned -19.51% and Credit Suisse -18.85% as losses for these two mounted. The Boeing Co. traded 3% higher last week after Southwest Airlines Co. announced an order of 100 more of Boeings' 737 Max 7. The TSA announced that U.S. air Passenger traffic was up 3.9% from last week and averaged 1.4m over the last seven days. This is up over 700% from last year but is still 40% below the 2.3m average from 2019. Semiconductor capital equipment makers Applied Materials Inc., Lam Research Corp. and Kulicke & Soffa Industries were three of the four best performing stocks in the S&P 500 Index last week. All returned more than 8.5% as global chip demand remains high and supply tight making capital equipment more valuable. Looking ahead to next week further understanding of economic strength will come from reports on employment, durable goods and factory orders. Friday trading was closed but change in nonfarm payrolls were announced well ahead of estimates. This is expected to boost confidence in equities to open next week.
Posted on Monday, April 5, 2021 @ 8:11 AM • Post Link Share: 
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These posts were prepared by First Trust Advisors L.P., and reflect the current opinion of the authors. They are based upon sources and data believed to be accurate and reliable. Opinions and forward looking statements expressed are subject to change without notice. This information does not constitute a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any security.
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